
ConsensusMarkets
Everyone stakes an option. Nobody sees anyone else's call.At close, the majority option wins, and backers split the pool by stake size.If you called it with the crowd, you earn.
Live probability
Live structure preview

Social prediction market · Nairobi
Stake on outcomes with M-Pesa. Compete against people who think they know better. Build a reputation that proves you do.
Kenya Elections 2027
Politics
Yes 64%
Safaricom Share Price Q4
Economy
Up 44%
AI Passes Turing Test
Tech
Yes 89%
Afcon 2027 Winner
Sports
Kenya 14%
SGR Ext to Malaba
Local
Yes 45%
CBK Rate Cut
Economy
No 76%
Kenya Elections 2027
Politics
Yes 64%
Safaricom Share Price Q4
Economy
Up 44%
AI Passes Turing Test
Tech
Yes 89%
Afcon 2027 Winner
Sports
Kenya 14%
SGR Ext to Malaba
Local
Yes 45%
CBK Rate Cut
Economy
No 76%
How you play
Consensus rewards the crowd reader. Ladder rewards the analyst. Private markets reward whoever convinced their group chat to back them. Pick your edge.
Browse live markets
Everyone stakes an option. Nobody sees anyone else's call.At close, the majority option wins, and backers split the pool by stake size.If you called it with the crowd, you earn.
Live probability
Live structure preview

Rank it. In order. Exactly.There is no partial credit. No 'I got three out of four.'If nobody hits the exact sequence, the N-1 fallback pays the closest correct arrangement.
Ranked outcomes
Live structure preview

Create a market. Share a link. Anyone with the link can join and stake.Nobody's call is visible until the market closes.It was already a debate. Now it has a resolution.
Private network
Live structure preview

Reputation
Your score is a public record of accuracy - not a points balance, not a reward programme. It determines how much KSH you can move per day and how much weight your vote carries when a market is close.
A Strategist's correct call influences the signal more than a Novice's identical stake. Not because of bankroll. Because of track record. The climb is real. So is the ceiling.
Integrity weight is the multiplier on your vote's influence in a market. It doesn't care how much you deposit. It only cares how consistently you've been right.
Where does your read sit?82%
yes price
KSH 12.4M
Volume
18.2K
Forecasters
+18%
24h
No
18%
64%
yes price
KSH 6.8M
Volume
9.4K
Forecasters
+11%
24h
No
36%
57%
yes price
KSH 8.7M
Volume
12.1K
Forecasters
+7%
24h
No
43%
69%
yes price
KSH 920K
Volume
76
Forecasters
+9%
24h
No
31%
Built for scanning, not staring.
Prices, volume, movement, and action stay in one readable row pattern across the full market page.
Market cards carry everything you need to decide - pool depth, signal direction, time to close - without a legend or a tutorial. The interface is the product.
Your balance is always the true number
100%
checked balance
Every settlement is checked twice before it confirms
2x
settlement checks
Private markets. Link expires in 72 hours.
72h
invite window
Markets update without refresh
Live92.4%
Public markets run on community signal
M-Pesa deposits
Live88.6%
M-Pesa deposits land in seconds
Settled-market score
92
/100
Outcome
Yes
Winnings
KSH 1,240.00
Pool size, participant count, and time to close are visible on the card.
After it settles: every choice, every payout, every fee deducted - public record.
Pool size visible
Always
Participant count
Always
Closing time
Always
Settlement record
Public
Payout breakdown
Public
Invite access
Valid
Will CBK hold rates at the next review?
Policy
82%
+12%
Will Fed cut rates in June?
Economy
64%
+7%
AI surpass human level by 2030?
Tech
38%
-4%
Before close, nothing is. Every settled market produces a record: total pool, 5% fee, winner count, payout per stake.
Consensus
Will Nairobi have more than five continuous rainy days?
Local
Area
KSH 84.5K
Pool
247
Forecasters
1d 09h
Left
68%
Yes
Top creators this week
Building credibility. Creating better markets.
Nairobi startup IPO
Nairobi rainfall streak
Next campus debate winner
The mechanics
The steps are short. The stakes are yours. Here's exactly what happens from the moment you decide to call it.
Sports, politics, local, economy, tech - markets open every day. Browse by category or closing time. Each card shows the pool, the participant count, and how long you have to stake. When you're ready, your choice locks in privately.
Takes about 30 secondsMinimum stake is KSH 50. Your daily limit depends on your reputation tier. The M-Pesa prompt arrives on your phone. Confirm it. That's the stake placed.
No bank account. No card.At the deadline, all stakes are revealed at once. Nobody could see anyone else's call while the market was open. Winners receive their proportional share of the pool after the 5% fee.
Auto-settled. No action needed.
Market live
KSH 42,000 staked
Mobile-first prediction
Built for mobile money. Plays out in group chats, on match days, and across campus gates.
Designed for the phone in your pocket, the group chat on your screen, and the conviction that the match-day argument already proved was worth something.
3
Formats
Invite links are made to move through WhatsApp, Telegram, campus circles, and match-day threads without turning the market into noise.
Positions stay sealed until resolution. No one can read the room and follow late; the information edge belongs to the early caller.
The markets you call correctly become a public signal others can read.
3
Market formats
KSH 50
Minimum stake
M-Pesa
Native payments
5%
Fee on settled pools
From the desk
03
latest posts
KSH
market reads
From the desk
Written by the team building the platform and the community calling the markets.
Top forecasters this week
Win rate, P&L, and tier - all public. All earned.
@marketmind / Analyst
76%
Win rate
+KSH 318K
P/L
Reads football pools before the room catches up.
@sovereign / Strategist
82%
Win rate
+KSH 421K
P/L
Called the CBK rate hold three months running.
@insightking / Analyst
74%
Win rate
+KSH 277K
P/L
Best week came from two clean policy calls.
Runner ups
Full leaderboardEdgeWalker
Novice
On a four-market streak in local infrastructure.
69%
+KSH 191K
Oxsage
Novice
Usually early on campus and culture markets.
67%
+KSH 162K
"Ante feels like the first market app built for how Kenyan group chats actually move."
Amina K.
Campus organizer / Nairobi
"The reputation layer changes the energy. People stop guessing loudly and start building a record."
Brian M.
Football pool admin / Kisumu
"Private rooms finally make forecasting useful for founder circles and sponsor decisions."
Njeri W.
Community operator / Mombasa
"The market cards are readable under pressure. I can scan pool depth, movement, and trust without hunting."
Otieno A.
Active forecaster / Nakuru
"Ante feels like the first market app built for how Kenyan group chats actually move."
Amina K.
Campus organizer / Nairobi
"The reputation layer changes the energy. People stop guessing loudly and start building a record."
Brian M.
Football pool admin / Kisumu
"Private rooms finally make forecasting useful for founder circles and sponsor decisions."
Njeri W.
Community operator / Mombasa
"The market cards are readable under pressure. I can scan pool depth, movement, and trust without hunting."
Otieno A.
Active forecaster / Nakuru
M-Pesa prediction platform
The markets are live. The community is forming. Novice to High Roller - the climb starts the moment you place your first stake. M-Pesa. KSH 50 minimum. No card required.
M-Pesa deposits · No card required · Start in under 2 minutes
Mobile money payments
M-Pesa
Settlement logic
Auditable
Minimum stake
KSH 50